MIAMI -- Forecasters say Fred, weakened to a tropical depression, is dumping a lot of rain over Haiti and the Dominican Republic, with the possibility of flooding.

The National Hurricane Center says Fred could also leave three to five inches of rain over much of Florida this weekend, with some areas getting as much as eight inches. That means possible street, stream and river flooding.

Right now Fred is centered about 20 miles south of Cap Haitien, Haiti, top winds 35, moving WNW at 15 mph.

Here's the full advisory from the NHC:

BULLETIN

Tropical Depression Fred Advisory Number 10

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021

1100 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

...FRED PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING ACROSS

PORTIONS OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION

-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...19.5N 72.2W

ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM S OF CAP HAITIEN HAITI

ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SSE OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has discontinued the

Tropical Storm Warning for all of the Dominican Republic.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...

* Haiti from the northern border with the Dominican Republic to

Gonaives

* Turks and Caicos Islands

* Southeastern Bahamas

* The Cuban provinces of Ciego de Avila, Camaguey, Las Tunas,

Holguin, Granma, Santiago de Cuba, and Guantanamo

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are

possible within the watch area.

Interests elsewhere in Haiti, the Bahamas, Cuba, and the southern

Florida Peninsula and the Florida keys should monitor the progress

of Fred.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor

products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fred

was located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 72.2 West. The

depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h)

and a general west-northwestward motion with a decrease in forward

speed is expected for the next several days. On the forecast track,

the center of Fred is expected to be over northern Haiti overnight,

move near the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas

on Thursday, and move near or north of the northern coast of central

Cuba Thursday night and Friday.

Dropsonde data from a NOAA reconnaissance aircraft indicate that

maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher

gusts. Little, if any change, in strength is expected overnight.

Slow re-intensification is forecast to begin by Thursday night.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

Key messages for Fred can be found in the Tropical Cyclone

Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and

on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?key_messages.

RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Fred is expected to produce the

following rainfall amounts:

Across the Dominican Republic...3 to 5 inches, with isolated maximum

totals of 8 inches. Heavy rainfall through Thursday morning could

lead to flash, urban, and small stream flooding, along with possible

rapid river rises and the potential for mudslides.

Over Haiti, the Turks and Caicos, the eastern Bahamas, and Cuba...1

to 3 inches with isolated maximum totals of 5 inches.

Across the western Bahamas...3 to 5 inches, with isolated maximum

totals of 8 inches.

Beginning Friday into next week, heavy rainfall associated with Fred

will impact Florida and parts of the Southeast. Through Monday, 3 to

5 inches of rain is anticipated across the Keys and the southern

Florida Peninsula, with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches. Heavy

rainfall could lead to areal, urban, and small stream flooding,

along with possible rapid river rises.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions could occur in brief squalls over

portions of the northwestern coast of the Dominican Republic for a

few more hours. Tropical storm conditions, mainly in brief

squalls, will also be possible along the northern coast of Haiti,

the Turks and Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas beginning

tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in Cuba beginning

Thursday.

SURF: Swells generated by Fred are expected to continue across the

U.S. Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and Hispaniola tonight, where they

could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Please consult products from your local weather office.

Photo: National Hurricane Center

Sitemap