Operation Storm Watch

Operation Storm Watch

The latest hurricane updates and resources

 

Hurricane Dorian Makes a Slight Shift

The 11am advisory from the National Hurricane Center: Hurricane Dorian remains at 85mph maximum sustained winds and is moving NW at 13mph.

Dorian is expected to strengthen within the next couple of days.

No Hurricane Watches or Warnings have been given to the Bahamas or Florida at this time.

The risk remains for storm surge and heavy rain regardless of where the storm lands for both the Bahamas and Florida's east coast.

NHC also warns of hurricane force winds.

Photos by: National Hurricane Center

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION...21.4N 67.2W

ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM NNW OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO

ABOUT 370 MI...600 KM E OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

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There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the northwestern and central Bahamas should monitor the

progress of Dorian.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

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At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Dorian was

located near latitude 21.4 North, longitude 67.2 West. Dorian is

moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general

motion is expected to continue through Friday. A west-northwestward

motion is forecast to begin by Friday night and continue into the

weekend. On this track, Dorian should move over the Atlantic well

east of the southeastern and central Bahamas today and on Friday,

approach the northwestern Bahamas Saturday, and move near or over

portions of the northwest Bahamas on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher

gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and

Dorian is expected to become a major hurricane on Friday, and remain

an extremely dangerous hurricane through the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the

center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles

(150 km).

The minimum central pressure based on data from a NOAA Hurricane

Hunter aircraft is 986 mb (29.12 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall

accumulations this weekend into early next week:

The central Bahamas...1 to 2 inches, isolated 4 inches.

The northwestern Bahamas...3 to 6 inches, isolated 8 inches.

Coastal sections of the Southeast United States...4 to 8 inches,

isolated 12 inches.

This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods.

SURF: Swells around the U.S. and British Virgin Islands and

Puerto Rico should gradually diminish today. Swells are likely to

begin affecting the east-facing shores of the Bahamas and the

southeastern United States coast during the next few days. These

swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current

conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


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